The three issues of the nuclear deal, the Iranian missiles and Iran’s role in the region are among the most important challenges for the EU, the United States and its major allies : the Saudis and Zionists.
While European policy is to maintain the nuclear deal and limit Iran’s influence and the power of its defensive agenda, US policy is to destroy the agreement and the power of the missiles, and to change the Islamic establishment in Iran.
On the contrary, Iran is after having extended its defensive power and regional position, as well as safeguarding the common global action plan, also known as the Iranian nuclear deal.
Referring to the UN report, the United States and the EU condemned Iran’s non-compliance with the arms embargo in Yemen.
The statement was issued a day after the Russian Federation vetoed the draft British resolution against Yemen and Iran.
The four countries claimed that Iran’s actions posed “serious risks to peace and stability in the region”.
The statement was issued when US President Donald Trump had already announced that if the US Congress and the EU did not agree to its terms regarding the GCAP, he would leave it.
Trump will decide to reaffirm or reject the suspension of sanctions, that is the life or death of GCAP, next May. The chances of passing a congressional bill against the GCAP are quite remote; the democrats will not tolerate it.
France plays the role of EU leader in its talks with Iran and the United States on the GCAP, regional issues and missiles; In addition, Europeans are lobbying in Washington to maintain the JGCAP.
During his visit to Tehran, French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian will hold talks with the Iranian authorities on Trump’s four conditions to maintain the GCAP and regional issues. The moment of Le Drian’s trip to Iran is well measured; the results of the talks in Tehran will have important effects on future developments, because in parallel with the visit of the French Minister of Foreign Affairs to Tehran, the Prime Minister of the Zionist regime Benjamin Netanyahu must go to the United States to deliver a speech to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC).
The annual AIPAC session is actually a Zionist Congress taking place in Washington; he is accompanied by two or three thousand men of very influential elements of international Zionists alongside the most influential American personalities.
According to Hoyle, the Israeli Prime Minister, the US President and Vice President Mike Pence will be among the speakers of the session. It is foreseeable that the most important point discussed at the meeting will be the PAGC and Iran’s role in the region. However, the most important point here is that, in the week-long dialogue with the White House, the Pentagon, the Foggy Bottom, the Congress, the think tanks and the media, the Zionist figures will try to plow Washington against the Iran.
Two weeks after the AIPAC meeting, Crown Prince Mohammad bin Samlan will visit the United States. He always goes to the United States with full pockets. This time, he takes a $ 100 billion package to buy a nuclear power plant. Its goal is to get Washington to accept the nuclear industry, including enrichment and heavy water, like Iran [Saudi Arabia] or to cancel the JCPOA to fight the nuclear industry in Iran.
In any case, the three important events will be the peak of Israel’s attempts against Iran, the American neocons and the Saudi-Emirate axis to pave the way for the United States to leave the GCAP, and take more measures against Iran, such as imposing new wide-ranging sanctions and fighting Iran’s regional role. One month after the three events, French President Emanuel Macron will visit the United States.
Among the European leaders, Macron has the closest relationship with Trump, without exception. Surely Netanyahu is the world’s most influential leader on Trump, and Macron is the most influential European. During President Hassan Rohani’s visit to New York to attend the United Nations General Assembly, Macron insisted that the Iranian and US Presidents meet, but President Rohani refused.
A few days ago, a US Department official said Trump would not reaffirm the suspension of sanctions in May, which would mean the death of the historic agreement. However, the results of the Macron-Trump talks will have an important role in the fate of the GCAP, because two years after the visit, the US president must vote for or against the suspension of sanctions against Iran.
The conditions in Washington are still unstable; the US Department is internally pseudo-chaotic; National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster is struggling with issues and challenges so severe that he can resign. As a result, the two advocates of the GCAP in the United States are in trouble. Saudi and Israeli lobbies are trying to replace McMaster with John Bolton, who is one of the most anti-Iranian figures of the neocons and an ally of the Zionist lobby, Saudi Arabia, and MKO terrorists.
For now, the most stable supporter of the GCAP is Pentagon General Jim Matis, but the Netanyahu-Kushner (Trump’s son-in-law) axis has more influence on Trump. The chaotic situation in the United States makes things easier for anti-Iranian lobbies.
On the other hand, Netanyahu is accused of corruption in Israel, and the Saudi Crown Prince is struggling with huge problems in his country. Therefore, both politicians may want to create a challenge for Iran to have a safety margin at home. Last, but not least, if Mr. Macron gets through the EU-Tehran talks, including Le Drian’s trip to Iran, he may be able to balance the White House’s decisions.
Therefore, with respect to such important factors, it is desirable that Tehran have an appropriate plan for negotiations with Le Drian.
* Author: Hossein Mousavian, former Iranian diplomat and current researcher at Princeton University, United States.